Atlanta Braves at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

The Atlanta Braves (70-60) visit the Minnesota Twins (72-58) on Monday. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Braves won all 3 games in 2023

The Braves had a 3-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with a 5-1 loss against the Washington Nationals while failing to cover as -180 home favorites. 1B Matt Olson had Atlanta’s only RBI with a HR.

The Twins lost 3-2 to the St. Louis Cardinals on Sunday, failing to cover as -137 home favorites. DH Royce Lewis and LF Willi Castro (HR) each had an RBI.

Braves at Twins projected starters

LHP Max Fried vs. RHP Bailey Ober

Fried (7-7, 3.57 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 128 2/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 3-2 loss against Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday
• Career vs. Twins: 1-0. 0.00 ERA (5 1/3 IP, 0 ER), 5 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 1 start in 2019

Ober (12-5, 3.54 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 140 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 7-5 loss at San Diego Padres Tuesday
• Has never faced Braves

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Braves at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:31 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Braves -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Twins -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+155) | Twins +1.5 (-190)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Braves at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 3, Braves 2

BET TWINS (-115).

In a game between 2 teams that have been performing relatively even recently, the pitching duel will have a big impact. Ober holds the advantage with a slightly lower ERA while also doing an exceptional job of keeping runners off the base paths with a 0.99 WHIP. Atlanta has had a difficult time producing runs over its last 10 games and will continue to struggle with Ober on the mound.

PASS.

There is better value on the Twins moneyline.

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

Atlanta has hit the Under in 9 of its last 10 games including each of its last 7. It has scored 3 or fewer runs in 8 of its last 10 games, including 6 of its last 7, while allowing 3 runs or fewer in 8 of its last 9 games. Minnesota has hit the Under in each of its last 3 games and has allowed 3 or fewer runs in back-to-back games.

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