New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

The New York Mets (69-63) and Arizona Diamondbacks (75-57) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Chase Field is at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 3-2

The Mets opened the series with an 8-3 win over Arizona Tuesday. They have won 4 of their last 6 games.

Tuesday’s loss snapped a 6-game winning streak for the Diamondbacks. They are 12-4 in their last 16 and trail the NL West-leading Dodgers by 3 games.

Mets at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Luis Severino vs. LHP Eduardo Rodriguez

Severino (9-6, 3.84 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 147 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 8-3 road victory over San Diego Padres Thursday
• Career vs. Arizona: 1-0, 1 home start (May 31), 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER (5 R), 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 10-9 victory

Rodriguez (2-0, 3.94 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 4 BB and 11 K in 16 IP.

• Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 3-1 road win over Miami Marlins Aug. 20
• Career vs. Mets: 1-0, 1.46 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 0.89 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 2 starts, including 1-0 with 0.00 ERA (8 IP) in 1 start last year

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mets at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Mets +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Diamondbacks -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-200) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mets at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 6, Mets 3

The Diamondbacks (-125) have not lost consecutive home games since losing 2 straight July 8-9 to the Atlanta Braves. They have not lost a home series since losing 2 out of 3 to the Minnesota Twins June 25-27.

They are one of the hottest teams in baseball.

The Mets haven’t won consecutive road games since winning 2 in a row at the Colorado Rockies Aug. 7-8.

Expect the Diamondbacks to bounce back and even the series. While the -125 odds on the moneyline are fine, the plus odds on the run line are too good to pass up.

PASS.

The Diamondbacks’ last 7 wins and 8 of their last 10 have been by 2 or more runs.

Seven of the Mets’ last 10 losses have been by multiple runs.

BET DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (+165).

Six of the Diamondbacks’ last 8 games have had more than 8 runs. They have scored 7 or more in 5 of their last 8 games.

Four of the 5 meetings this season have had 9 or more total runs.

BET OVER 8.5 (-110).

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