Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

The Boston Red Sox (69-64) welcome the Toronto Blue Jays (65-70) to Fenway Park on Thursday. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 6-3

The Blue Jays have lost back-to-back games after falling 3-0 against the Red Sox on Wednesday as +122 road underdogs and 6-3 on Tuesday. Toronto was held to just 2 hits Wednesday while RHP Chris Bassitt (1 ER in 6 2/3 IP) took the loss.

The Red Sox won Wednesday as -132 home favorites. LF Tyler O’Neill had 2 RBIs and RHP Brayan Bello allowed 0 ER in 8 innings (2 H, 1 BB, 9 K) to earn his 12th win.

Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Bowden Francis vs. RHP Kutter Crawford

Francis (7-3, 4.02 ERA) makes his 9th start and 23rd appearance. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 71 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 8 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 3 BB, 12 K in 3-1 win against Los Angeles Angels Saturday
• Career vs. Red Sox: 0-0, 0.00 ER (2 2/3 IP, 0 ER), 2 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 3 relief appearances

Crawford (8-11, 4.19 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 148 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 4-1 loss against Arizona Diamondbacks Saturday
• Career vs. Blue Jays: 1-1, 4.26 ERA (19 IP, 9 ER), 19 H, 8 BB, 16 K in 4 starts; pitched a scoreless 1 1/3 innings vs Toronto June 26

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Blue Jays at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Red Sox -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-190) | Red Sox -1.5 (+155)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Blue Jays 3

BET RED SOX (-140).

The Red Sox have won back-to-back games against the Blue Jays and 6 of their last 9 this season. Boston has scored 3 or more runs in each of their last 4 games and in 7 of their last 10 games while Toronto has been limited to 3 or fewer runs in 3 of its last 5 games.

PASS.

There is better value on the Red Sox moneyline.

BET UNDER 9 (-120).

Toronto has scored 3 runs or fewer in back-to-back games while limiting opponents to 3 or fewer runs in 4 of its last 5 games while Francis is coming off a 1-run, 8-inning outing. Boston has hit the Under in back-to-back games and in 3 of its last 5 games.

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