Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

The Baltimore Orioles (77-57) and Los Angeles Dodgers (79-54) play the finale of a 3-game series Thursday at Dodger Stadium at 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The O’s fell to the Dodgers 6-4 Wednesday night as we cashed all 3 bets. The O’s had some sloppy defense with 3 errors, and RHP Corbin Burnes couldn’t get around them. He allowed 6 R, but only 1 of them were earned. The O’s sit 1 game behind the New York Yankees in the AL East and hold a sizeable lead for the top Wild Card.

The Dodgers counterpunched the Orioles’ 3 runs in the 2nd inning with 4 in the 3rd and never looked back. DH Shohei Ohtani hit his 42nd homer, and OF Teoscar Hernandez slugged his 28th homer. The Dodgers hold a 3-game lead in the NL West.

Orioles at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Cade Povich vs. RHP Bobby Miller

Povich (1-6, 6.10 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.62 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 48 2/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 7-5 home victory Friday against Houston Astros
• Has never faced Dodgers
• Home/road splits: 0-2, 12.27 ERA, 2.09 WHIP, 3.3 K/9 in 3 road starts; 1-4, 4.30 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 7 home starts

Miller (1-3, 7.49 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.74 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 39 2/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 7-3 home victory Friday against Tampa Bay Rays
• Has not faced Orioles
• Home/road splits: 1-0, 2.65 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 12.7 K/9 in 3 home starts; 0-3, 11.12 ERA, 2.29 WHIP, 5.2 K/9

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Orioles at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Orioles +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Dodgers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-160) | Dodgers -1.5 (+135)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Orioles at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Orioles 5

The Dodgers have the clear advantage here with Povich’s inability to get hitters out — especially on the road. Miller has been a bit of a BP machine himself, but his home starts have been much better. If he keeps the O’s to 3 runs, the Dodgers should be fine.

Take the DODGERS -145.

Here’s a sneaky play since both Ohtani and Mookie Betts H+R+RBI lines have swelled to 2.5. Take TOMMY EDMAN OVER 1.5 H+R+RBIs (-120). He’s 6-for-29 (.207) since coming off the IL, but he’s 4-for-9 (.444) with a double and triple against left-handers.

It’s slated to be 71 degrees with another 10-mph breeze blowing out to center in Tinseltown. Miller has allowed 3+ ER in 5 of 6 starts, and Povich has done so in 5 of 7.

Take the OVER 9 (+100).

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