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Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs odds, picks and predictions
By Seth Orlemann,
2 hours ago
The Baltimore Ravens visit the Kansas City Chiefs to open the NFL season Thursday. Kickoff from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Ravens vs. Chiefsodds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Ravens finished the preseason 1-2 after falling 30-7 at the Green Bay Packers in their final game Aug. 24. QB Lamar Jackson was kept on the sidelines during the preseason to prevent injury and start the season fully healthy. Over the offseason, the Ravens made some significant changes with the biggest being the addition of RB Derrick Henry.
Kansas City dropped all 3 games during the preseason, including its final game against the Chicago Bears 34-21 Aug. 22. QB Patrick Mahomes saw limited snaps in the first 2 games and did not play in the preseason finale. The Chiefs are looking to win their 3rd straight Super Bowl this season.
In last season’s AFC Championship game, the Chiefs covered as 4.5-point underdogs in a 17-10 win at the Ravens Jan. 28 with the Under (44) hitting.
Moneyline (ML): Ravens +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Chiefs -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Ravens +3 (-115) | Chiefs -3 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 47 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Ravens at Chiefs key injuries
Ravens
None
Chiefs
WR Marquise Brown (shoulder) out
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Ravens at Chiefs picks and predictions
Prediction
Chiefs 24, Ravens 20
PASS.
There is better value on the Chiefs to cover the spread Thursday.
BET CHIEFS -3 (-105).
Kansas City is 9-2 straight up and 7-4 ATS in Week 1 games with coach Andy Reid. It made fewer offseason adjustments and is closer to form compared to a Ravens team that sees Henry in the backfield and made critical changes on both sides of the ball. While Jackson and company will surely look for a strong start to the season, the reigning champions will have the last laugh Thursday.
BET UNDER 47 (-110).
While this game features 2 of the NFL’s top offenses, history shows the Under is the way to go. Both teams not only have top offenses, but they also have top defenses. The Chiefs have hit the Under in 18 of their last 22 games at home, and with both teams readjusting after a long offseason, the Under is the best bet.
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