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MLB home run props for 9/3: Let's go Carroll-ing
By Jack Dougherty,
1 day ago
Arizona Diamondbacks outfielder Corbin Carroll.
We closed out last week with a +350 cash on Jhonkensy Noel on Friday, and we're back for more home run prop winners this week. Let's start off strong with our three favorite HR bets for Tuesday's MLB slate.
Crews has been smoking the baseball since being called up to the major leagues last week. The Washington Nationals rookie already has two home runs and two doubles in six games, and he's crushing fastballs to the tune of a .925 xSLG and a 75.0 percent hard-hit rate. The good news for Crews is Miami Marlins starter Max Meyer throws his 4-seam fastball 39.7 percent of the time, and he ranks in the first percentile in barrel rate (14.4 percent) and the second percentile in hard-hit rate (48.1 percent).
Laureano is one of the hottest hitters in the Atlanta Braves lineup, batting .329 and slugging .549 with five homers over the last 30 days. He's especially crushing lefties of late, as the outfielder is batting .522 and slugging .826 against southpaws over the last three weeks. Colorado Rockies starter Kyle Freeland ranks in the 13th percentile in barrel rate (10.0 percent), and he's given up three home runs in his last three starts.
Kyle Harrison is back on the mound for the San Francisco Giants, so you know we're fading him with a home run prop. Harrison is one of our favorite pitchers to target because he has one of the highest 4-seam fastball rates in MLB (58.2 percent), leading to a 10.2 percent barrel rate and a 44.2 percent hard-hit rate. Carroll is on quite the power surge with six home runs in his last 12 games, and he has a 54.5 percent hard-hit rate and a 54.5 percent fly-ball rate against left-handed pitching during that stretch. This is an auto bet at a huge price.
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