Eastern Arizona will likely get isolated stronger thunderstorms Saturday afternoon into evening

The Arizona Weatherman is still expecting an overall decrease in thunderstorm activity and area coverage for the state today. However, isolated areas of more intense thunderstorms may occur for Eastern Arizona this afternoon, Saturday, June 29, 2024.

Model depiction of likely thunderstorms for Saturday, 29 Jun 2024Photo byWindy.com

The high-resolution convective models indicate an increased chance of stronger thunderstorms over Eastern Coconino, Navajo, Apache, Northern Gila, and Northern Greenlee Counties, as depicted in the above image. The Arizona Weatherman is expecting thunderstorms between 12 pm and 8 pm with the potential of >60 mph winds, smaller hail, and possible localized flooding. The models indicate CAPEs in the 1,500 - 2,000+ range, LI -5 to -6 range, and DCAPE values over 1,400. Coupled with upper-level speed divergence. Therefore, expect the possibility of severe parameters that may impact the Mogollon Rim today.

It's crucial to stay informed with your local radar data and NWS warnings. If the roadways are flooded, please find an alternative route and ensure your safety. Your safety is our top priority.

Source: The Arizona Weatherman, a seasoned meteorologist with over 25 years of experience in aviation meteorology with the United States Air Force, government contracting, and private practice, provides this forecast. His experience training Special Operations Weather Technicians (SOWT) in weather techniques and his state certification as a STEM teacher further underscore his expertise. His weather predictions are trustworthy.

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