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2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds, predictions: Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy picks by proven model
By CBS Sports Staff,
2 days ago
USATSI
It's been a year of firsts for Ludvig Aberg as he competes in his first full year on the PGA Tour. Now he'll enter his first FedEx Cup Playoffs beginning with the 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind on Thursday. Aberg enters the playoffs in sixth place of the 70 golfers in the 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship field, putting himself in a strong position to advance deep into the three-week playoff. The FedEx Cup Playoff field will shrink after each tournament, and with Aberg at +2000 to win the FedEx St. Jude Championship 2024, should you include the 24-year-old in 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship bets?
Scottie Scheffler is the +360 favorite, followed by Xander Schauffele (+750) and Rory McIlroy (+900) in the latest 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds. Patrick Cantlay lost in a playoff at last year's FedEx St. Jude Championship and at +2500 odds, is there value in him winning the 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship? Before locking in your 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks or PGA props, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine .
Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters -- its third Masters in a row -- and this year's PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Top 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship golf predictions
One surprise: McIlroy, a four-time major champion and one of the top favorites, does not crack the top five this week. The World No. 3 has gone a decade since his last major championship victory, coming up just short against Bryson DeChambeau at the U.S. Open two months ago. McIlroy proceeded to miss the cut at the Open Championship last month, finishing at 11-over after the first 36 holes.
He ranks outside the top 40 on the PGA Tour in strokes gained from putting, driving accuracy and GIR percentage. The 35-year-old had a strong performance at this tournament last year, but he missed the cut in 2022. McIlroy has been consistently overvalued in the most important events of the year, and the model recommends fading him this week.
The model has also examined where Schauffele finishes. The 2024 Open Champion has been at his best with the most eyes on him this season. He's won two majors this season while finishing in the top 10 in all four major events and carried that big-stage success to the Olympics, where the American finished T-9. The 30-year-old is second in the FedEx Cup standings with 17 top-25 finishes in 18 events this season.
However, Schauffele has just one top 10 and no top five results at TPC Southwind over six career tournaments. He's finished 24th and 57th in each of his last two FedEx St. Jude Championship events at TPC Southwind. He's finished outside the top 45 in three of those tournaments, so when examining whether to take him at the second-lowest odds in the field, you'll have to weigh recent major success versus career struggles at the course. The model just locked in its Xander Schauffele FedEx St. Jude Championship picks here .
How to make 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks
The model has revealed where Rory McIlroy and Xander Schauffele finish, along with identifying five golfers with odds of 25-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here .
Scottie Scheffler +360 Xander Schauffele +750 Rory McIlroy +900 Collin Morikawa +1400 Ludvig Åberg +2000 Patrick Cantlay +2500 Tommy Fleetwood +2800 Hideki Matsuyama +3000 Viktor Hovland +3500 Tom Kim +3500 Tony Finau +3500 Justin Thomas +4000 Corey Conners +4000 Russell Henley +4000 Billy Horschel +4500 Sungjae Im +4500 Sahith Theegala +4500 Aaron Rai +4500 Cameron Young +5000 Sam Burns +5000 Jordan Spieth +5500 Matt Fitzpatrick +5500 Adam Scott +5500 Shane Lowry +5500 Wyndham Clark +6000 Brian Harman +7000 Sepp Straka +7500 Byeong Hun An +7500 Max Homa +7500 Davis Thompson +8000 Jason Day +8000 Akshay Bhatia +9000 Christiaan Bezuidenhout +9000 Will Zalatoris +9000 Si Woo Kim +9000 Min Woo Lee +10000 Taylor Pendrith +10000 Max Greyserman +10000 Keegan Bradley +10000 Robert MacIntyre +10000 Alex Noren +10000 Maverick McNealy +11000 Harris English +12000 Ben Griffin +12000 Thomas Detry +12000 Cam Davis +12000 Eric Cole +15000 Tom Hoge +15000 Nick Dunlap +15000 Jhonattan Vegas +15000 Denny McCarthy +15000 Erik van Rooyen +15000 Justin Rose +15000 Victor Perez +17000 Taylor Moore +17000 Austin Eckroat +17000 J.T. Poston +17000 Stephan Jaeger +20000 Mackenzie Hughes +20000 Adam Hadwin +20000 Seamus Power +22000 Chris Kirk +22000 Patrick Rodgers +25000 Emiliano Grillo +27000 Brendon Todd +27000 Mark Hubbard +30000 Jake Knapp +30000 Nick Taylor +35000 Matthieu Pavon +40000 Peter Malnati +100000
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