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Eagles vs. Packers prediction, odds, line, time, spread: 2024 NFL in Brazil picks by top model on 181-129 roll
By CBS Sports Staff,
2 days ago
USATSI
Brazil will host an NFL game for the first time when the Philadelphia Eagles face the Green Bay Packers as part of the 2024 NFL International Games on Friday, Sept. 6. This is also the first time the NFL has played a game on Friday night during Week 1 since the Rams faced the Cardinals in 1970. Brazilian soccer club SC Corinthians will host the matchup between these potential Super Bowl contenders. There are five regular-season games set to be played internationally this season, including three in the U.K. and one in Germany.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 35-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
The Eagles started last season at 10-1 and looked to be in a prime position to return to their second straight Super Bowl. However, following a 42-19 loss to the 49ers, Philadelphia's entire season started falling apart. The Eagles went 1-5 to close the regular season before an ugly 32-9 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Wild Card Round. The Eagles returned head coach Nick Sirianni but hired Kellen Moore as offensive coordinator and Vic Fangio as defensive coordinator.
The Eagles ranked 30th of 32 teams in opponent scoring (25.6 points per game) and allowed the 26th-most yards per game. Fangio was brought in to remedy that and given his success rate in the NFL in leading top defenses, it may not take him long to do that. The Eagles return quarterback Jalen Hurts with A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith at receiver and added superstar running back Saquon Barkley to add another dimension to the offense. The Eagles are 3-0 in season-openers under Sirianni and will look to quickly erase the taste of how last year ended. See who to back at SportsLine .
Why the Packers can cover
Green Bay got off to a slow start in its first season without quarterback Aaron Rodgers, but won six of its final eight games to make the postseason. The Packers have emerged as a serious NFC contender heading into 2024, especially if quarterback Jordan Love can take another step forward. He posted some of the best stats in the league during Green Bay's hot finish to the regular season and has a balanced wide receiver room to work with this year.
The Packers bolstered their rushing attack by adding running back Josh Jacobs, who has gone over 1,000 rushing yards three times since joining the league in 2019. Philadelphia is coming off a brutal finish to the 2023-24 season, going 1-6 in its final seven games while failing to cover the spread on all seven occasions. The Eagles are just 11-14-1 against the spread away from home under head coach Nick Sirianni, and they are 3-6 in their last nine games against Green Bay. See who to back at SportsLine .
How to make Eagles vs. Packers picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over the total, projecting the teams to combine for 55 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. Head to SportsLine to see its NFL picks .
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