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Fantasy Football Rankings 2024: Busts by top-rated NFL model that nailed Jaylen Waddle's rough season
By CBS Sports Staff,
1 day ago
USATSI
David Njoku isn't in the class of elite tight ends like Travis Kelce or George Kittle, but he had his breakout year in his seventh NFL season and could rocket up the 2024 Fantasy football rankings. So, why is Njoku considered one of the possible 2024 Fantasy football busts? Much of his production came with Joe Flacco under center, but the veteran quarterback is now in Indianapolis. It should be beneficial to your Fantasy football draft prep to know that Njoku led his position in Fantasy points during the five weeks Flacco was under center, but Njoku was just the TE10 with all other Browns quarterbacks throwing him the ball.
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle would fail to live up to his Fantasy football ADP. Waddle's 2023 Fantasy football ADP was 34.86 overall and he was the 11th receiver off the board on average. He'd go on to notch a 1,000-yard season but only had 72 receptions with four touchdowns and he'd finish as the No. 34 Fantasy football wide receiver in CBS Sports PPR leagues.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2024, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them .
Top 2024 Fantasy football busts
One of the 2024 Fantasy football busts the model is predicting: Falcons tight end Kyle Pitts. Fantasy managers are hoping the addition of quarterback Kirk Cousins and offensive coordinator Zac Robinson can help turn Pitts' Fantasy career around. He flashed his potential when he caught 68 passes for 1,026 yards and finished as the TE6 during his rookie season, but he has not met expectations since then.
Pitts has failed to top 700 receiving yards or 55 receptions over the last two seasons, failing to make a major impact compared to the top tight ends in the league. He has also dealt with some injury issues, so it will be difficult to find anyone who feels amazing about Pitts heading into his fourth season. SportsLine's model has him ranked behind tight ends Jake Ferguson, David Njoku and Evan Engram, who are all available later in average Fantasy drafts.
Another bust that SportsLine's Fantasy football rankings 2024 have identified: Commanders receiver Terry McLaurin. Last year, McLaurin had the worst Fantasy season of his five-year career. You could say some of the blame could go to Washington's QB situation, the Commanders have had QB struggles during McLaurin's entire career. McLaurin's career-worst season actually came on a Washington team which led the NFL in pass attempts last season, and the Commanders are unlikely to have that type of passing volume under rookie QB Jayden Daniels.
In addition to a rookie QB, the team also has a new playcaller in OC Kliff Kingsbury. During his four years as Arizona's head coach, only once -- DeAndre Hopkins in 2020 -- did a Cardinals wideout rank in the top 28 in positional Fantasy points. McLaurin's skills haven't diminished, but his opportunities are likely to in 2024, whether due to game plan or expected game flow. The model favors someone like Chris Godwin ahead of McLaurin, despite McLaurin having an earlier 2024 Fantasy football ADP. See which other Fantasy football busts 2024 to avoid here .
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