Fantasy Football Rankings, sleepers, streamers, model's cheat sheets for Week 1, 2024 in standard, PPR leagues

Whether you spent months, weeks, days or minutes creating your Week 1 Fantasy football rankings, Fantasy football start-sit decisions can make a major difference in success or failure for your Week 1 Fantasy football picks. The first players at each position you selected in Fantasy football 2024 drafts are likely must-starts, but depending on your Fantasy football scoring system, choosing those second and third players at positions or FLEX options in Week 1 Fantasy football lineups can be stressful. Jaxon Smith-Njigba was the first receiver drafted in the 2023 NFL Draft, but after finishing 10th among rookies in receiving yards (628), can you trust the Seattle receiver for Week 1 Fantasy football lineups? Before you lock in your Fantasy football lineups, be sure to check out the Week 1 Fantasy football rankings from the advanced computer model at SportsLine .

When it comes to ranking players, SportsLine's model beat human experts in Fantasy football for the past several seasons, especially when there were big differences in ranking. Over the course of a season, that could literally be the difference between winning your league or going home emptyhanded.

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, including being ahead of the curve on players like A.J. Brown , Jonathan Taylor , Derrick Henry , Christian McCaffrey , Alvin Kamara , and Jahmyr Gibbs . Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

Now, the model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has revealed its Fantasy football rankings for Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season. Head to SportsLine now to see them .

Top Week 1 Fantasy football picks

One surprise in Week 1: The model is fading Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray , even though he's a two-time Pro Bowler who was one of the first 10 quarterbacks drafted on average in 2024. In fact, the model says Murray doesn't even finish in the top 20 at his position.

Murray has been an accurate albeit unspectacular passer throughout his career and he's been one of the more dynamic running threats in the NFL when healthy. However, he draws a tough Week 1 matchup against the Buffalo Bills , who ranked fourth in the NFL in scoring defense and ninth in total defense in 2023. The Buffalo offense is also hard to get off the field -- ranking first in third-down conversion rate (49.85) in 2023 -- and that could mean fewer opportunities for Murray.

A curveball: The model is high on Buccaneers receiver Chris Godwin, despite him finishing with his fewest yards per game since 2018. Godwin averaged 60.2 yards per game last season and finished as WR36 on a points-per-game basis. His two touchdowns were also the fewest since his rookie season in 2017.

However, Godwin recorded his third-straight 1,000-yard season and was one of just 20 receivers to generate at least 130 targets last season. Godwin finished with 1,024 yards on 83 receptions with 130 targets. Godwin has averaged at least 70 yards per game in three of his previous five seasons and Tampa Bay opens up the season against Washington, who allowed the most yards and points per game last season. The Commanders figure to have one of the weakest defenses in the NFL again this season, making this a strong matchup for Godwin. For more start/sit Fantasy football advice, be sure to check out the rest of the Week 1 Fantasy football rankings .

How to set Week 1 Fantasy football rankings

The model is also calling for a surprising quarterback you aren't even thinking about to finish in the top five of its Week 1 Fantasy football rankings. This pick could be the difference between winning big and going home with nothing. See the model's entire Week 1 Fantasy football rankings for PPR and standard leagues here .

So who should you start and sit this week? And which surprising quarterback could lead you to victory? Visit SportsLine now to get Week 1 Fantasy football rankings for every position, plus see which QB is going to come out of nowhere to crack the top five, all from the model that has outperformed experts big-time .