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Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions
By Kevin Erickson,
1 day ago
The Arizona Diamondbacks (42-44) and Los Angeles Dodgers (53-34) wrap up a 3-game series Thursday. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Dodgersodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 4-4
The Dodgers walked it off in the 9th inning Tuesday night, winning a 6-5 thriller as -179 favorites with the Over (9) cashing. The Diamondbacks returned the favor, winning 12-4 Wednesday as +179 underdogs. Los Angeles jumped out to a 4-1 lead after the 1st inning against rookie RHP Cristian Mena, but the Snakes rattled off 11 unanswered runs in the rout.
Arizona has won 3 of the past 4 games, but the Diamondbacks are just 5-6 in the past 11 road contests. The Over has cashed in both games of this series, while going 6-2 in the past 8 outings.
Los Angeles piled up 82 runs of offense in the past 14 games, good for an average of 5.9 runs per game (RPG). The Over has connected in 5 consecutive games for the Dodgers, all against divisional opponents. The total has gone high in 8 of the past 9 games inside the division, too.
Diamondbacks at Dodgers projected starters
RHP Zac Gallen vs. RHP Landon Knack
Gallen (6-4, 2.83 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 63 2/3 innings.
Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 3-0 home victory vs. Oakland A’s Saturday
2024 road splits: 2-2, 4.33 ERA (27 IP, 13 ER), 1.22 WHIP, .248 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 7 BB, 29 K in 6 starts
Career vs. Dodgers (regular season): 1-4, 3.48 ERA (64 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 in 11 starts
Knack (1-1, 2.08 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 30 1/3 innings.
Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H (1 solo HR), 0 BB, 7 K in 5-3 loss at San Francisco Giants Friday
2024 home splits: 0-1, 1.84 ERA (14 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 0.89 WHIP, .176 OBA, 4 BB, 11 K in 3 starts
Career vs. Diamondbacks: 1 start, no-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H (1 solo HR), 1 BB, 2 K in 4-3 road loss in 10 innings April 30
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Dodgers -142 (bet $142 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-178) | Dodgers -1.5 (+146)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Diamondbacks at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 5, Diamondbacks 4
The DODGERS (-142) are a decent play as moderate favorites against the Diamondbacks (+120), a team which has been a huge thorn in the Dodgers’ side in recent seasons.
L.A. got off to a good start Wednesday, only to fritter away the lead, and then it saw its bullpen get trampled. Knack should be able to give the team good innings. While facing Gallen is a tough task, the D-backs starter has been mediocre on the road, doing his best work in Phoenix.
The DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-178) aren’t priced out of line if you’d like a little bit of insurance, and you just can’t play Arizona straight up.
Arizona has given Los Angeles more trouble than perhaps anybody in the past 2 seasons, including a stunning sweep in an NLDS last fall. It might be tempting to even back the D-backs straight up with Gallen, but he has been shaky on the road.
OVER 8.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.
We’ve seen the Over cash in each of the first 2 games of this series, while going 4-1 in the past 5 meetings.
The Over is on a 5-0 run for the Dodgers, too, while 3-1 in the past 4 home games.
For the Diamondbacks, the Over has cashed in 6 of the past 8 contests.
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