NEW: RCP Electoral Map Has Trump Beating Harris With 4 Key Battlegrounds With NO Toss-Up Races

Saturday’s RealCearPolitics 2024 electoral map found former President Donald Trump ahead in four key battleground states and narrowly defeating Vice President Kamala Harris in November.

Trump’s embattled campaign has spent two weeks navigating a rising Harris and a series of missteps from the former president. Still, averages in the battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin showed Saturday morning that Harris had not yet become the favorite to take the White House in November.

The map had none of the states the candidates needed to win in its toss-up column but did show Trump beating Harris in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and Pennsylvania,

Meanwhile, the Saturday RCP electoral map found Harris keeping both Michigan and Wisconsin away from Trump for a second consecutive election.

Screenshot/RealClearPolitics

In 2016, Trump cruised to victory over Hillary Clinton with 304 Electoral College votes – more than the 270 needed to claim the presidency – by taking Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia, and Arizona but losing Nevada.

If Saturday’s RCP holds, the polling aggregator’s map shows Trump and his running mate Sen. JD Vance (R-OH) defeating Harris and her running mate Democratic Minnesota Governor Tim Walz 287-251.

RCP’s electoral map contrasts with a Sienna/ New York Times poll released Saturday morning that showed Trump upside-down in Pennsylvania – trailing Harris 46 to 50 percent.

The poll found Trump behind in Michigan and Wisconsin by identical margins.

An Ipsos poll released Thursday found Trump and Harris in a “statistical dead heat” in seven battleground states. Ipsos reported:

A new poll of Americans living in the swing states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona and Nevada finds Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are in a statistical dead heat for the presidency. The survey shows that many people in swing states are concerned with inflation, immigration, and political extremism or polarization. When asked how the candidates perform on these, Trump outperforms Harris on inflation and immigration, while neither candidate has a clear lead on the issue of political extremism and polarization.