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Cleveland Guardians at LA Dodgers odds, picks and predictions
By Kevin Erickson,
4 hours ago
The Cleveland Guardians (81-60) and LA Dodgers (84-57) play the middle contest a 3-game interleague series Saturday. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is set for 9:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Dodgersodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Guardians lead 1-0
The Guardians collected just 5 hits in Friday’s series opener, but it was enough to earn a 3-1 win as moderate underdogs (+130) as the Under (8.5) was never in question. In the win, 8’s were wild, as Andres Gimenez and Brayan Rocchio each hit their 8th homers of the season in the win.
Despite the win, Cleveland is still just 6-8 across the past 14 road games, and 3-4 in the past 7 interleague battles. The Under has cashed at an 8-3 clip in the past 11 against the National League.
As far as Los Angeles is concerned, it slipped to 10-4 in the past 14 tries against American League opponents, and it is still 11-3 in the past interleague games at home despite the loss.
The Under was a rarity for the Dodgers, as the Over is still 7-2 in the past 9 games, while going 10-4 in the previous 14 outings.
Guardians at Dodgers projected starters
RHP Gavin Williams vs. TBD
Williams (3-7, 4.55 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 59 1/3 IP.
Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 4-2 road victory vs. Kansas City Royals Monday
2024 road splits: 3-2, 2.70 ERA, 36 2/3 IP, 11 ER, 2 HR, 1.01 WHIP, .179 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 13 BB, 34 K in 7 starts
Career vs. Dodgers: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 7 R (5 ER), 8 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 5 K in 9-3 home setback Aug. 24, 2023 in only start vs. LAD
No Los Angeles pitcher announced at time of publishing.
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Moneyline (ML): Guardians +124 (bet $100 to win $124) | Dodgers -146 (bet $146 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-156) | Dodgers -1.5 (+130)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -104 | U: -118)
Guardians at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Guardians 6, Dodgers 4
The GUARDIANS (+124) are worth a look for a 2nd consecutive day, as they’re catching a break catching the back end of the rotation for the Dodgers (-168).
As L.A. hasn’t announced a starting pitcher as of the time of publishing, you have to back Cleveland. Williams has ugly numbers overall, but most of his poor performances have come at Progressive Field. On the road, he has pitched very, very well. There has been some sharp action on Cleveland Saturday morning as well.
Play the GUARDIANS +1.5 (-156) if you still just can’t trust Cleveland for a 2nd straight game, even though the Dodgers -1.5 (+130) have yet to settle on a starting pitcher. Taking a little bit of insurance isn’t a bad bet, really, and the price point isn’t out of line.
OVER 9 (-104) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.
There is just uncertainty about the Dodgers selection for starting pitcher, and while Williams has been a little better on the road than at home, he is still 3-7 with a 4.55 ERA. When he doesn’t bring his ‘A’ game to the mound, he can be pretty giving, so be careful not to go low like Friday.
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