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LA Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions
By Nathan Beighle,
2 days ago
The Arizona Diamondbacks (77-60) welcome the LA Dodgers (82-55) to Chase Field for the finale of their 4-game series. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 6-6
The Dodgers lost to the Diamondbacks 14-3 Sunday after winning the first two games of the series 10-9 Friday and 8-6 Saturday. Los Angeles had its 4-game win streak snapped Sunday but is still 10-3 over its last 13. The Dodgers are 37-31 on the road and 68-69 against the spread (ATS) on the season.
The Diamondbacks, who sit 2nd in the NL West, have struggled as of late, losing 3 of their last 4. They snapped a 3-game losing streak with the win Sunday; however, Arizona is still 8-4 over its last 12. The Diamondbacks are 39-30 at home this season and 72-65 ATS.
Dodgers at Diamondbacks projected starters
RHP Jack Flaherty vs. LHP Eduardo Rodriguez
Flaherty (10-6, 3.07 ERA) makes his 24th start, 6th with the Dodgers. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 in 135 IP.
Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER (3 R), 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 3-2 home loss to the Baltimore Orioles Tuesday
2024 away stats: 6-2, 2.55 ERA (74 IP, 21 ER), 0.91 WHIP, 11.2 K/9 in 13 starts
Career vs. Diamondbacks: 1-2, 4.41 ERA (34 2/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 10.9 K/9 in 6 starts
Rodriguez (2-0, 5.06 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 21 1/3 IP.
Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 5 ER (5 R), 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 8-5 home win over the New York Mets Wednesday
2024 home stats: 0-0, 6.97 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 2 starts
Career vs. Dodgers: 1-3, 5.85 ERA (20 IP, 13 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 in 4 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -144 (bet $144 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +122 (bet $100 to win $122)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+116) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-140)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -118 | U: -104)
Dodgers at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 6, Diamondbacks 3
BET DODGERS (-144).
While this is a relatively expensive play, it is the best team-specific one. The Dodgers have the best record in the MLB and the 2nd-best record at 33-21 following a loss. They brought in Flaherty to strengthen their rotation from Detroit, and he has done just that.
Los Angeles should have the advantage on the mound to start. Meanwhile, Arizona is just 7-11 as a home underdog which sits in the bottom half of the league.
Take DODGERS (-144).
PASS.
Both teams are playable on the spread, and the Diamondbacks have reasonable value as a home run-line underdog. However, the Dodgers’ moneyline is the safer and preferred play here.
BET OVER 8.5 (-118).
The bats for both sides have been red hot as of late.
The Diamondbacks are 77-54-6 O/U on the season and have gone Over in 6 of their last 7, scoring at least 6 runs in 3 straight games. Arizona has tallied 39 runs over its last 5 games.
The Dodgers are 5-0 O/U in their last 5 and 8-2 O/U over their last 10. Los Angeles has scored at least 6 in 4 of its last 5 games. Take OVER 8.5 (-118).
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